SPAL vs Juventus Serie A Predictions

Serie A SPAL vs Juventus
SPAL vs Juventus Serie A

The match is over.
Score: 2-1.

Imminent Serie A champions Juventus travel to SPAL knowing they only need a point to confirm their eight-straight Scudetto, and they should get all three at a canter.

Predictions

Juventus are a title-winning machine and for a while now it’s been a question of when rather than if they would lift the trophy this season. They could have done so last weekend but Napoli kept the division alive a little longer, but it was only ever temporary. A draw – which was the outcome of this fixture last season – is enough for the Old Lady.

With seven games left to play, SPAL’s attention is at the other end of the table. They go into the game with a five-point cushion on the bottom three, but it wouldn’t be Serie A without twists and turns every week and Leonardo Semplici’s side are far from safe. Even a point – which itself would be more than SPAL would have accounted for – would go a long way towards confirming safety.

SPAL’s best hope is that Juventus’ Champions League tie with Ajax is in the balance when the Bianconeri go to Emilia-Romagna. Juve also play traditional rivals Inter and Fiorentina in the next few weeks and even if the title is wrapped up, they won’t want to lose to either opponent. SPAL could be looked at almost as Juve’s off-week, and if the players take that attitude, the title coronation will have to wait a bit longer again.

But you don’t get to dominate domestically with that attitude, so at the very least Juve should avoid defeat. Even if Max Allegri rings the changes with Europe in mind, there’s enough depth on hand to put out a team that can take the points. Moise Kean would likely feature in that case and after scoring the winner in a come-from-behind victory at Milan, the young forward is on fire.

SPAL’s chances will rest on Andrea Petagna, the 23-year-old forward with a respectable 12 goals so far this season. He scored the crucial 89th minute penalty in the win over Lazio in early April, and also converted from the spot when SPAL beat Roma in March. On loan at SPAL from Atalanta but with an obligation to buy, he’s a name to follow for the future.

In the shorter term, though, Juve should win and seal the Scudetto, confirming the bookies’ decision at the start of the season to make Allegri’s side overwhelming favourites. A 3-0 win will cap the campaign in style.

Betting Tips

In all honesty it shouldn’t be a question of will Juventus win but by how many – they dwarf SPAL. The home side may have a reasonable goals against record – 44 conceded in 31 games – but Juve’s attacking might is irresistible. 888sport price over 2.5 goals in the game at 13/10.

Expect Juve to steamroll SPAL at first, then take their foot off the gas with the Europe in mind. A quick lead and a goalless last 30 minutes wouldn’t be unexpected, and a 3-0 lead will be enough comfort for Juve to switch off. It’s 14/1 at 888Sport.

Statistics

Head to Head

SPAL and Juve have only met three times, all since 2017. Juve won the first meeting 4-1 before a goalless draw, while earlier this season they took a 2-0 win in Turin.

Stats

  • There were 49 years between SPAL’s last Serie A campaign and their top flight return in 2017-18.
  • SPAL have scored a quarter of their goals between the 60th and 75th minutes this season.
  • Juve’s goals tend to come in that time period too, but they score almost as many – 23% as compared to 26% – in the final 15 minutes of matches.
  • Juve have only failed to score in one league game this season, when they lost at Genoa.
By:Clay McGibbon

A life-long Bury fan, Clay has realized his dreams of seeing his boyhood club reach the lofty heights of Premier League glory are very unlikely. Though currently living in London, Clay never misses the opportunity to watch his team on the stream. Often spotted at centre-back in Sunday League, Clay has settled for reporting on the top teams throughout Europe. He has recently taken a liking to the NFL, and hopes to be able to attend an NFL game at Wembley this year.

All Reviews by Clay McGibbon

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