Man United vs Arsenal Premier League Predictions

Premier League Man United vs Arsenal
Man United vs Arsenal Premier League

The match is over.
Score: 1-1.

It used to be the game that all-but decided the destination of the Premier League title. Now, it’s more about Champions League qualification, and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer proving he’s the right man for the job.

Predictions

After starting the season in impressive style – routing Chelsea on the opening weekend of the campaign – United’s form has been distinctly unimpressive. They’ve won only once since – 1-0 at home to Leicester City – and dropped points against Wolves, Crystal Palace, Southampton and, most recently, West Ham.

Arsenal, meanwhile, were staring at a fourth consecutive game without a win when they went 2-1 down to Aston Villa, but recovered to take three points, despite playing with 10 men for more than half the game. It’s not enough to answer all of the questions surrounding Unai Emery and his side – like why they’re so ridiculously easy to create chances against – but it lifted the mood at the Emirates Stadium somewhat.

A first win over United at Old Trafford since an FA Cup victory in 2015 would give boost Emery’s standing greatly but it’s the manner of the performance that really matters most. Arsenal have been thoroughly unconvincing for much of the season so far, and weren’t exactly perfect last year either.

In some respects, then, the visit of Arsenal is the kind of game United need. The enmity from the past, when Sir Alex Ferguson and Arsene Wenger were in the dugout and United and Arsenal were perennial title contenders, lingers among the fans. They’ll be up for it. The players should sense that too, and respond in kind. And Arsenal’s defence and midfield have been too accommodating to the opposition in recent weeks. More of the same and United could run free.

That’s easier said than done though. What seems likely is that the game features goals, and plenty of them – at both ends. The 2-0 defeat at West Ham was the first game this season in which United have failed to score. Arsenal, meanwhile, have scored in every game so far, and only twice – a 1-0 win over Newcastle and a 3-0 win at Eintracht Frankfurt – did only one team score.

It’s hard then to predict anything other than lots of goals and with two teams struggling for consistency, the result could go any of the three possible ways. A 2-2 draw would be about right.

Betting Tips

United and Arsenal are separated in the table by three points, but with only six games played that’s not a significant margin. Expect them to be hard to separate on the pitch too, with attacks winning out over defences – Arsenal have conceded 10 goals in six league games, and United eight in six. 888Sport price the draw and both teams to score at 16/5.

Arsenal have scored 11 times in their six league games so far, and United eight in theirs. These are two teams better on the front foot than the back foot, and with wide-open midfields and porous defences. The popular sportsbooks should expect goals. Royal Panda price both teams to score at 51/100.

Statistics

Head to Head

It was all square last season. A 2-2 draw at Old Trafford in the league, a 3-1 United win at the Emirates in the FA Cup and a 2-0 Arsenal win in their home league fixture.

 

United, historically, have won 81 of the 189 fixtures between the teams, with Arsenal claiming 64 victories. The other 44 games have been drawn.

Stats

  • There hasn’t been a goalless game between Arsenal and United since 2014.
  • Arsenal allow on average 18.3 shots against per game. Only Aston Villa’s 18.5 is higher.
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored in five of Arsenal’s six league games this season – he only failed to net in the 3-1 defeat at Liverpool.
  • United haven’t scored a league goal in open play since Daniel James’ in the 10th minute in the draw at Southampton on August 31. Marcus Rashford’s winner against Leicester came from the penalty spot.

Aspiring football journalist who realised he could put his vast knowledge towards gambling and making some money. With years spent on Football Manager, his boyhood obsession has carried over into his adult life and he's proven his mum that all that time spent playing a game wasn't to be wasted. A European football expert, James writes about anything on the continent and has began expanding his knowledge to other leagues in South America, Asia and the USA.

All Predictions by James Cooke

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