Man City vs Arsenal Premier League Predictions

Premier League Man City vs Arsenal
Man City vs Arsenal Premier League

The match is over.
Score: 3-1.

Manchester City’s bid to retain the Premier League title comes up against inconsistent Arsenal, who want a Champions League place.

Predictions

Manchester City were stung shortly before Christmas as they lost at home to relegation-threatened Crystal Palace but since then, Pep Guardiola’s side have won five straight games at the Etihad Stadium in all competitions, scoring 26 goals and conceding just once in the process.

City’s storming home form has included games against lower league opposition Burton Albion and Rotherham United in the EFL Cup and FA Cup respectively, fixtures they’d be expected to win comfortably – though few predicted a nine-goal rout of the Brewers.

The aim for City has been to stay on the heels of league leaders Liverpool, a task helped greatly by beating the Reds at the start of January. But such is the situation at the top of the table that City need to be ready if Liverpool drop any more points, and they can’t afford to drop any themselves.

Arsenal, meanwhile, are struggling through injuries, particularly to Unai Emery’s assortment of defenders, and some patchy form. Indeed, the Gunners’ only away win in their last five games on the road came in the FA Cup, when they eliminated League One Blackpool.

Emery’s side do though remain in the hunt for a top four place and that’s largely thanks to the prolific partnership of Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang. With Mesut Ozil’s place in the XI still in the air, Aaron Ramsey on his way out and others making only fitful contributions, the front two carry a great deal of responsibility.

City’s attacking mind-set could leave space in behind for Lacazette and Aubameyang to exploit but the home side offer huge scoring threat to a threadbare Arsenal backline. That should lead to a City win – 3-1.

Betting Tips

City have scored 40 home Premier League goals in their 12 games this season, the most of any team in the division. Arsenal, meanwhile, have scored 22 times in 11 away games, so both sides know how to find the net. It’s 11/8 with 888Sport that City win and both teams score.

Aubameyang’s name has been near the top of the Premier League scorer’s list throughout the season, vying with Mohamed Salah and Harry Kane for the Golden Boot. He’s 2/1 at Royal Panda to score anytime.

Statistics

Head to Head

Arsenal haven’t so much as scored a goal against City in the past three meetings between the teams, and the last time they beat the champions, they needed extra time in the FA Cup to do it. Top bookmakers will have taken note of the London club’s struggles, as they haven’t won at the Etihad since a 2015 2-0 victory.

Stats

  • The last three City-Arsenal fixtures have seen eight goals scored, all for City – they’ve won 2-0 and 3-0 at the Emirates Stadium, and 3-0 in last season’s EFL Cup final.
  • Lacazette was the last Arsenal player to score against City, netting in a 3-1 reverse at the Etihad in November 2017.
  • Kevin De Bruyne, Sergio Aguero and Gabriel Jesus were on target for City that night, and the last five meetings between the sides have seen eight different City scores – De Bruyne, Aguero, Jesus, David Silva, Vincent Kompany, Bernado Silva, Leroy Sane and Raheem Sterling.
  • Arsenal haven’t kept a Premier League clean sheet away from home this season – the last was against Huddersfield in May 2018. City haven’t failed to score in a Premier League home game since May 2018 too – ironically, also against Huddersfield.

Aspiring football journalist who realised he could put his vast knowledge towards gambling and making some money. With years spent on Football Manager, his boyhood obsession has carried over into his adult life and he's proven his mum that all that time spent playing a game wasn't to be wasted. A European football expert, James writes about anything on the continent and has began expanding his knowledge to other leagues in South America, Asia and the USA.

All Predictions by James Cooke

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