Fulham vs Chelsea Premier League Predictions

Premier League Fulham vs Chelsea
Fulham vs Chelsea Premier League

The match is over.
Score: 1-2.

Fulham and Chelsea meet in a west London derby that could have consequences at both ends of the Premier League table.

Predictions

Chelsea, fighting for a place in the Champions League next season, and Fulham, fighting to avoid dropping into the Championship, are separated by barely two miles distance but a lot more than that in football terms.

Indeed, for all the tumult that has befallen the Blues in recent days, from losing the EFL Cup final on penalties to Manchester City to the ‘misunderstanding’ between Kepa and Maurizio Sarri in the match itself, they are in significantly better shape than the Cottagers.

Fulham turned to Claudio Ranieri to stave off relegation in November 2018 but three months on, the veteran Italian has been unable to lift the team out of the bottom three. After a summer of scattergun transfers, Fulham are paying the price.

No team in the top flight have conceded more goals than Fulham, and only one clean sheet at home in the league all season tells its own story. Home form is the basis for a successful fight against the drop, but Fulham have to score twice to have any chance of getting three points at the Cottage, an untenable situation.

In other untenable situations, Chelsea haven’t won away from Stamford Bridge in the Premier League since December, when they beat Crystal Palace at Selhurst Park. Sarri’s side did beat Malmo in the Europa League, but the goals scored in the 2-1 triumph were the first away from home since beating Palace. If Chelsea are to have a chance of finishing the season in the top four, their away form has to improve greatly.

The visit to Fulham should at least give Chelsea that opportunity. The home side concede on average two goals per game at home, and don’t have enough firepower to overcome that obstacle on a regular basis. A 3-1 win for Chelsea is on the cards.

Betting Tips

There’ve been on average 3.3 goals per game in Fulham’s home league fixtures this season and with Eden Hazard around for Chelsea, it’s not impossible for that to tick over 3.5 in this particular match. 10Bet have over 3.5 goals at 16/11.

Hazard is a player betting sites in the country will always take note of. The 28-year-old is on course to pass his season-high tally of 16 league goals for Chelsea from the 2016-17 campaign and remains Chelsea’s major threat. He’s 9/2 at Royal Panda to score two or more goals.

Statistics

Head to Head

Chelsea took a comfortable 2-0 win from the first meeting between the sides this season, at the Bridge in early December.

That was the first meeting of the neighbours since 2014, when Fulham were last relegated. Chelsea did the double that season, winning 3-1 at the Cottage and 2-0 at the Bridge.

Overall, Chelsea have won 32 of the 51 fixtures between the clubs, with 16 draws and only three Fulham victories.

Stats

  • Hazard has never scored against Fulham, but did claim two assists in the 3-1 win in 2014, and an assist in a 2013 meeting as well.
  • Fulham haven’t beaten Chelsea since 2006, when Luis Boa Morte scored the only goal of the game and William Gallas was sent off for Chelsea. That game saw then-Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho make two substitutions before the half-hour, and his third at half time.
  • Between February 2011 and April 2013, Fulham and Chelsea played out a run of five consecutive draws – one of which was in the League Cup, with the tie ending goalless after extra time and Chelsea winning on penalties.
  • Chelsea have scored more than twice the number of goals as Fulham in the history of this fixture, 88 to 43.
By:James Cooke

Aspiring football journalist who realised he could put his vast knowledge towards gambling and making some money. With years spent on Football Manager, his boyhood obsession has carried over into his adult life and he's proven his mum that all that time spent playing a game wasn't to be wasted. A European football expert, James writes about anything on the continent and has began expanding his knowledge to other leagues in South America, Asia and the USA.

All Reviews by James Cooke

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