Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Premier League Predictions

Premier League Chelsea vs Tottenham
Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur Premier League

The match is over.
Score: 2-0.

Chelsea’s battle to break back into the Premier League’s top four takes in a London derby with Tottenham Hotspur.

Predictions

Chelsea may have harboured hopes of a title challenge when the season began but as a disappointing campaign enters its final months, the aim is a little lower – top four rather than top spot, and a place in the Champions League for next season. The Blues have two ways of qualifying, through the Premier League or Europa League, and while the latter is a very possible route, the former can’t be overlooked either, especially when there’s a London derby to consider.

The picture is a little less clear for Tottenham Hotspur. Try as they might, Mauricio Pochettino’s side are unlikely to catch Manchester City or Liverpool, even if the gap between the top two and Spurs is only a few points. The fact is, City and Liverpool have shown a consistency this season that Spurs have lacked, possibly thanks to a greater squad depth, but either way, third looks like being the best Tottenham can do.

Similarly, though they’re in the competition’s latter stages and are well-placed in their Round of 16 tie with Borussia Dortmund after beating the Germans at Wembley, it’s hard to see Pochettino’s threadbare squad going all the way in Europe. But Pochettino could be forgiven for focusing on the Champions League. It’s possible Manchester United could sneak into third, but less so that another team finds the form to ease Spurs out of the top four by the end of the season.

Chelsea are one of those teams hoping to snatch a top four spot but just don’t have the firepower to match the teams around them. Every one of the teams above Chelsea has scored 50 goals or more in the Premier League this season, while Chelsea are still a few short of that mark. After 26 league games, Chelsea have averaged slightly more than 1.5 goals per game, compared two per game or better for their rivals.

It’s a problem Gonzalo Higuain was signed to solve but the real issue is the team as a whole, and how they approach games. Tottenham are a well-drilled, disciplined unit where every player knows their role for every fixture. The same can’t be said of Chelsea, perhaps due to the rapid turnover of coaches at the club in recent years. But then Chelsea have lifted significantly more silverware than Spurs in that time.

But at the moment, Spurs will be the better bet with top bookmakers. Chelsea might be favourites but it’s a status more based on name value and home advantage than anything else and Tottenham can win at Stamford Bridge. 2-1 to the visitors isn’t out of the question.

1x2 Prediction

Score Prediction

Betting Tips

Tottenham do have a parsimonious defence but it’s been hit by injuries in recent weeks, like the rest of Pochettino’s squad, and Eden Hazard has the ability to score against even a full strength backline. But this is a Tottenham team that scored three at Wolves, six at Everton, three at Cardiff and two at Fulham, so they have goals on the road.

This should be a tight game – the two League Cup meetings between the sides in January were each only separated by a single goal, and the tie itself needed penalties to find a winner. Tottenham won 3-1 at Wembley in November but only once this season have Chelsea lost at home by more than one goal.

Statistics

Head to Head

Chelsea won the last game between the teams, the second leg of the EFL Cup semi-final, 2-1 on the night and also won on penalties with the scores level on aggregate after Spurs’ 1-0 first leg win.

Tottenham also won when the sides met in November, and won at the Bridge when the sides met in April. Dele Alli scored twice and Christian Eriksen once in a 3-1 Tottenham win, with the now-departed Alvaro Morata netting for Chelsea.

Overall, Chelsea have beaten Spurs 62 times, with Spurs winning 48 times and the fixture being drawn 35 times.

Stats

  • There hasn’t been a goalless game between Chelsea and Spurs since November 2015.
  • There’ve been 30 goals scored between the sides in the nine games since that goalless draw.
  • Chelsea have beaten London rivals Arsenal, Crystal Palace and Fulham at home already this season, while Spurs have gone to Fulham and won, beaten Arsenal in the League
  • Cup but lost in the League, and won at Palace and West Ham – twice, once in the League Cup and once in the Premier League.
  • Chelsea haven’t kept a clean sheet against Tottenham since the 2015 goalless draw.
By:James Cooke

Aspiring football journalist who realised he could put his vast knowledge towards gambling and making some money. With years spent on Football Manager, his boyhood obsession has carried over into his adult life and he's proven his mum that all that time spent playing a game wasn't to be wasted. A European football expert, James writes about anything on the continent and has began expanding his knowledge to other leagues in South America, Asia and the USA.

All Reviews by James Cooke

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