Burnley vs Liverpool Premier League Predictions

Burnley vs Liverpool Premier League
Burnley vs Liverpool Premier League

Wednesday December 5th, 19:45

Struggling Burnley host title-chasing Liverpool in the kind of fixture that last season, they might have fancied taking three points from. This year’s different, though, as the Clarets’ fight seems to have deserted them.


It’s not an exaggeration to say the December fixture list could determine Burnley’s season. Pick up a few wins, especially unexpected victories like this one would be, and the second half of the campaign should be free of real relegation fears. Lose more than they win and Burnley are really in the mire.

Liverpool’s attention is firmly at the other end of the table and with the December games coming thick and fast, and Manchester City showing little sign of slowing down, the Reds can’t afford to drop too many points if they’re to stand any chance of catching the champions.

The same fixture last season was held on New Year’s Day and Liverpool needed a last minute Ragnar Klavan goal to seal three points after Johann Berg Gudmonsson equalised Sadio Mane’s opener in the 87th minute. It was a sign of Burnley’s deep resolve, and also Liverpool’s extra quality, but Sean Dyche’s side haven’t looked quite so resilient this year.

Burnley last beat Liverpool – home or away – early in the 2016-17 season but have routinely caused problems for more glamorous visitors at their cramped Turf Moor home. This season though home form has largely been lost, with defeats to Newcastle and Watford and a draw with Huddersfield particularly concerning.

Liverpool would have to be considered strong favourites even if it was the Burnley of last year but with their early-season Europa League exertions still not out of their system, it’s hard to see how the hosts take the points.

Burnley won’t make it easy but Liverpool should have enough to come through in the end, with a 3-1 win a fair reflection of the away team’s superiority.

1x2 Prediction

Score Prediction

Betting Tips

A lot depends on Jurgen Klopp’s team selection but even with the impressive Virgil Van Dijk, this is a defence that can be got at from set pieces, which remain Burnley’s best option. Liverpool have too much firepower going forward not to find the net at least once.

Dogged Burnley will keep themselves in it for the first 45 minutes and with Liverpool playing only days after the Merseyside derby, expected some tired minds and bruised bodies. And of the eight goals Burnley conceded against Chelsea and West Ham, six of them came in the second half, suggesting some stamina issues.


Head to Head

The teams have met 73 times and the advantage is decidedly Liverpool’s, who have won 32 times to Burnley’s 22. 20 of Liverpool’s wins have come at Turf Moor.


  • Match week 15 last season saw Burnley in seventh place, only four points behind fourth-place Liverpool.
  • Burnley had only conceded 11 goals by this stage last season – it took only eight games for them to match that total this season.
  • Liverpool haven’t lost a Premier League away game this season, beating Crystal Palace, Leicester City, Tottenham, Huddersfield and Watford and drawing with Chelsea and Arsenal.
  • They’ve conceded only four goals away from home in the league in that time, scoring 12 in reply.