England vs Croatia Nations League Predictions

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By user:James Morton
England vs Croatia - UEFA Nations League

Sunday November 18, 14:00

The Nations League concludes this week with an important League A Group 4 clash between England and Croatia on Sunday afternoon in a game where the home side are favourites to edge to victory and gain an element of revenge following their World Cup semi-final elimination.

Predictions

England must defeat Croatia and hope the Eastern Europe side prevented Spain from winning in Zagreb to have any hope of topping their group.

Gareth Southgate’s side famous 3-2 win in Seville against Spain was one of their finest victories in recent years but may yet prove to be in vain.

The Three Lions were held in Croatia by a scoreless draw having lost their opener at home to Spain, while the Croats themselves went down in a 6-0 defeat by La Roja.

Zlatko Dalic’s side appear to be going through somewhat of a hangover in form since their memorable run to this year’s World Cup final.

Home advantage alongside Croatia being out of form should be enough for England to win this game but it is likely to be another tightly-fought encounter, with a 1-0 win for the Three Lions a likely outcome.

Betting Tips

England have kept a clean sheet in eight of their last 12 home matches and international fixtures at Wembley tend to be cagey and low-scoring with little between the sides. This game may well see a scenario whereby neither side can finish top of the group and that may lead to a lethargic performances, which the hosts should edge to nil.

In a similar vein, this is likely to be a tight clash with the visitors probably looking to frustrate the hosts and close down any attacking options, while England themselves are likely to once again look to capitalise upon set-play situations. It is likely that neither side will break the deadlock before the break but the Three Lions should be able to push home a marginal advantage after half-time.

Statistics

Head to Head

This will be the 10th meeting between the two nations, with England currently edging the head-to-head on four wins compared to three for Croatia along with two draws.

However, the most important clash between the two came earlier this year in Russia when Croatia edged out England 2-1 in extra time of their World Cup semi-final. The Croats also defeated England twice in their qualification campaign for the 2008 European Championships, while the reverse meeting in Zagreb last month ended scoreless.

Stats

  • England’s 3-2 win in Spain was only the second time they had hit more than two goals in one game in their last 20 outings (including the 6-1 win over Panama).
  • England’s home defeat to Spain in the Nations League was their first defeat at Wembley in a competitive game since 2007 when they lost 3-2 at home to Croatia.
  • Croatia’s recent friendly win over Jordan was their first victory in five attempts since their semi-final triumph over England.
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