Millwall vs Brighton and Hove Albion FA Cup Predictions

Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt
FA Cup Millwall vs Brighton
Millwall vs Brighton and Hove Albion FA Cup

The match is over.
Score: 2-2.

The quarter finals of the FA Cup see Brighton travelling up to London to face a Millwall side who will be hungry for another Wembley visit, spurred on by their giant killing of Everton in Round Four and the win over Wimbledon in Round Five.

Predictions

On paper, Brighton should be favourites for this but the cliches will be out in full flow for this game as The Den provides a hostile atmosphere and surroundings that no team likes to play in. If Millwall can get into Brighton’s heads, the Premier League team will be in trouble.

While Millwall are underdogs and – despite the various factors around the cup tie – the status serves them right. No win in their last four Championship games, one point off of the relegation zone and with only this cup tie left to play for in terms of success.

Brighton’s form has picked up in recent weeks, moving them away from Premier League relegation. Wins against Huddersfield and against rivals Crystal Palace were much needed and will give them confidence for this game.

On their way to this quarter final, Millwall beat Hull, Everton and Wimbledon with the latter of the three ties being the only game played away from home, yet still in London.

The visitors will be favourites for the win here after beating Frank Lampard’s Derby County in the last round, also beating Bournemouth and West Brom in the process.

The away side are favourites to win this game although it may not be a big a margin as many suggest. A 3-1 triumph for Chris Hughton’s side would appear a likely outcome from it, although a Millwall 1-0 win would potentially be the shock of the round.

Betting Tips

Brighton are overwhelming favourites for this clash so an away win carries very little risk while it is also highly likely that both teams will score. Millwall will be intent on giving their home fans a moment to savour after a great cup run and this is among the best online betting odds for this midweek round of action.

These are lengthy odds for an outcome which is more probable than they reflect. Home advantage should significantly shift the momentum in this game towards Millwall if their crowd get infamously rowdy and loud (within the boundaries of the law, of course) and the scoreline being level at the break before Brighton pull away in the second half could be the most likely outcome.

Statistics

Head to Head

Millwall and Brighton have played one another 22 times with Millwall winning seven and Brighton winning nine, so there isn’t much in this game in terms of history. The last game was a 0-0 draw back in 2015 when Brighton were still in the Championship.

Stats

  • Brighton have won their only two away FA Cup games this season, away at West Brom (replay) and away at Bournemouth, a stark contrast from last season when they lost against Man United and Bournemouth in the FA Cup and League Cup respectively.
  • Millwall need a win in the league to move them away from danger and as their record this season shows, they normally have a slight upturn after an FA Cup win. Their only loss was after the Hull game but they were unbeaten after beating Everton and Wimbledon.
  • Brighton have never won the FA Cup and have only ever reached the final once before, when they lost to Manchester United after a replay.
  • Millwall will be remembered for their FA Cup final appearance against Manchester United as well, which is also the only time the club has ever reached the final of the competition.
Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt

Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.

All Predictions by Sam Watt

BACK TO TOP