Valencia vs Krasnodar Europa League Predictions

Europa League Valencia vs FC Krasnodar
Valencia vs Krasnodar Europa League

The match is over.
Score: 2-1.

Valencia, unbeaten in all competitions since the middle of January, continue their Europa League campaign against Russia’s Krasnodar.

Predictions

Not since a 1-0 defeat against Getafe in the Copa del Rey have Valencia tasted defeat – some 11 games ago. In that time, Marcelino’s side have drawn 2-2 with Barcelona, avenged the loss to Getafe by winning the second leg to set up a final appearance against Barca and eliminated Celtic from the Europa League. Indeed, Los Che are arguably one of Europe’s form teams.

Krasnodar, meanwhile, haven’t won a competitive game since December. Much of that time was spent in a mid-season break but even after the Russian Premier League resumed, Murad Musaev’s side have gone without a victory. Even their Europa League progression, at the expense of Bayer Leverkusen, came via a pair of draws – 0-0 in Russia, 1-1 in Germany to send Krasnodar through on away goals.

Krasnodar drew 1-1 on Sunday in the first Russian Premier League round of the spring, against Spartak Moscow, while Valencia’s preparation was a 2-0 win over Athletic Bilbao. The results left them respectively second and seventh domestically, but they have each only lost four league games this season.

Los Che’s four defeats in La Liga is only one more than second-place Atletico Madrid and half as many as Real Madrid, who are ensconced in third – it’s the 15 draws that have left Valencia out of the Champions League places. A few more wins would have put Valencia firmly in the top four fight, rather than on the fringes of Europa League qualification.

Krasnodar are in touching distance of Zenit Saint-Petersburg at home but with only 16 teams left in the Europa League, both they and Valencia will feel European success isn’t out of the question either. Bookies consider both teams outsiders, but it only takes a favourable draw to change that for whoever gets through to the last eight.

Valencia’s form should give them the edge in the first leg and if Krasnodar are to progress, they’ll need an away goal. But with Valencia conceding less than a goal per game in the league this season, there’s no guarantee they’ll get it. A 2-0 home win looks possible.

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Betting Tips

Valencia kept clean sheets in both games against Celtic in the prior round and while Krasnodar have 32 goals in 18 league games, they managed only eight in six in the Europa League group stage, so Valencia will feel confident of shutting them out here. 888Sport price a home win to nil at 6/5.

Spain international Rodrigo Moreno has scored two in his last two games and while neither he nor Valencia are free-scoring, both club and player are on a hot streak. He’s 13/10 anytime at Royal Panda.

Statistics

Head to Head

Valencia and Krasnodar have never faced each other before.

Stats

  • Krasnodar were one of three teams to progress from the Europa League group stage with a goal difference of zero – BATE Borisov and Fenerbahce did likewise.
  • Celtic, Rapid Vienna, Lazio and Rennes all came through the group stage with a negative goal difference.
  • Valencia ended their Champions League campaign with a perfectly symmetrical record – played six, won two, drawn two, lost two, scored six, conceded six.
  • Valencia’s 27 league goals is bettered by second-bottom Rayo Vallecano and matched by third-bottom Villarreal. It’s also only one better than rock bottom Huesca.
By:Sam Watt

Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.

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