Valencia vs Arsenal Europa League Predictions

Valencia vs Arsenal Europa League
Valencia vs Arsenal Europa League

The match is over.
Score: 2-4.

With Arsenal firmly in the driving seat with this tie, surely there’s no way that the Gunners can throw this one away? A 3-1 lead from the first leg should be enough but if Valencia start strongly like they did in North London, we could have a great match on our hands.

Predictions

In most seasons, a 3-1 lead from the first leg would be enough to send any team through but in this season, you just can’t ever be sure. Arsenal looked dangerous in the first leg and could be good for a few goals in this tie too, but it would be foolish to write off Valencia completely.

The first leg loss was Valencia’s third defeat in a row and ended their run of four wins in a row. Currently sixth in La Liga, their hopes of Champions League football next season seem to rely on winning the Europa League.

Arsenal are in a similar position in the Premier League with the win over Valencia ending their run of three straight defeats, while they’re only two points off of the top four in England, they’ll be targeting the Europa League as the easiest way to get into next year’s Champions League.

After dropping down from the Champions League, the loss against Arsenal was the first in the Europa League for Valencia after beating Krasnodar, Celtic and Villarreal in the process.

As for Arsenal, it maintained their unbeaten run at home in the competition, with their only defeats coming against BATE Borisov and Rennes – both away from home.

The away side are favourites to win this game although it may not be a big a margin as many suggest and certainly no repeat of the first leg – a 1-1 draw would be enough to see Unai Emery’s side advance to the final.

1x2 Prediction

Score Prediction

Betting Tips

A draw wouldn’t be the most surprising of results from this game and it wouldn’t upset any Arsenal fans who know that this would be enough to send them through – 888sport have it as 13/2. Valencia will attack from the off but if Arsenal’s last game against Napoli is anything to go by, they’ll dig deep for a draw and see themselves through.

These are lengthy odds for an outcome which is more probable than they reflect, due to the result earlier this month. Arsenal can afford time to sit back and soak up pressure but with Valencia only needing a 2-0 win, you know that they’ll bombard the Gunners from the first whistle but if Arsenal hold off until half time before fighting back for a draw, it wouldn’t shock anyone, with this bet rated at 13/1 by 888sport.

Statistics

Head to Head

The first leg at the Emirates Stadium was the first time that Arsenal and Valencia had faced off in the Europa League, taking the all-time tally up to two Arsenal wins, three Valencia wins and one draw.

Stats

  • The win from the first leg was the first time that Arsenal had beaten Valencia since the Champions League quarter final in 2001 when they won 2-1 thanks to goals from Thierry Henry and Ray Parlour.
  • Valencia came back to win the second leg 1-0 thank to John Carew to send them through so Arsenal fans will be hoping that lightning doesn’t strike when it comes to first leg leads in knockout competitions.
  • With his two goals from the first leg, Alexandre Lacazette moved level with Thierry Henry in the top scorer charts for this fixture and one behind John Carew.
  • The first leg win was Unai Emery’s fifth win against Valencia in his managerial career and his eighth win over Valencia boss Marcelino, moving him up to five wins, two draws and five losses against his former club.
Sam Watt
By:Sam Watt

Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.

All Predictions by Sam Watt

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