Olympiakos vs Milan Europa League Predictions

Europa-League-Olympiacos-vs-Milan
Olympiakos vs Milan Europa League

The match is over.
Score: 3-1.

With Group F leaders Real Betis though, Olympiakos and Milan will play out a decider to see who progresses to the Round of 16 in the Europa League.

Predictions

Olympiakos’ 1-0 loss to Real Betis in match day five has put them in a difficult position. They need to win 2-0, 3-1 or by 3+ goals.

Their form is spotty, with a draw away to Xanthi in the Greek Super League meaning they have won just two of their last five matches, and they’ll be telling themselves that form can turn around quickly in football.

For Milan the objective is far simpler – don’t lose and they are through. If the match ends in one of the aforementioned score lines that doesn’t benefit Olympiakos, they can even lose and still progress.

They did suffer a scare in the last match day when they went 2-1 down at home to Europa League newcomers F91 Dudelange, before coming back to win 5-2.

They will hope to go far in European competition with a high league place far from assured. They are 17 points off Serie A runaway leaders Juventus but sit in the top four. A 2-1 win for Milan would end Olympiakos’ hopes and is a very likely score line.

Betting Tips

Given Olympiakos need to score at least two goals, they will be offensive from the outset. Milan are the top scorers in the group win 11 goals and have found the net in eight of their last nine Europa League games. A goal puts them in a great position, as even if they lose 2-1 they qualify.

Most of the good Milan have done in the Europa League this season have come in the second half of matches, which is worth knowing when looking at betting sites’ odds. All but one of their 11 goals in the competition this season have come in the second half. Olympiakos are unlikely to rest on their laurels even if they are winning come half time, knowing Milan’s tendency to score in the last 45 minutes

Statistics

Head to Head

Olympiakos don’t have too good a record against Milan, never beating them in their three meetings. The Greek side’s meeting with the Italians back in the 1959-60 European Cup was Olympiakos’ first ever match in European competition.

Moving to more recent encounters, the two’s meeting earlier in the group stage saw Milan come back from a goal down to win 3-1.

But Milan have never won in Greece drawing 0-0 against AEK Athens in last season’s UEFA Europa League group stage in their most recent trip east.

Stats

  • Olympiakos have won just one of their last eight home matches against Italian sides.
  • AC Milan have only lost one of their last four Europa League matches away from home, keeping two clean sheets in those matches.
  • AC Milan forward Patrick Cutrone has scored four goals so far in the Europa League this season – of players aged under 21 after their final group stage game, only Luka Jovic (five this season) has netted more in the group stage of any Europa League campaign was rebranded in 2009
  • Olympiakos have just three victories to their name in 12 UEFA encounters at home to Italian opposition and have lost five of the last eight (W1 D2).
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