FC Krasnodar vs Valencia Europa League Predictions

Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt
Europa League FC Krasnodar vs Valencia
FC Krasnodar vs Valencia Europa League

Predictions

Rodrigo Moreno’s first half double looked like giving Valencia a routine passage through their Round of 16 meeting with Russian side Krasnodar. Winning by two clear goals would have given Marcelino’s side some breathing space, and more options for the second leg in terms of a result that would confirm qualification.

Indeed, if not for Viktor Claesson’s second half goal, Valencia could have gone to Russia and lost 1-0 and still been in the draw – it wouldn’t have been ideal to lose the battle but the comfort of winning the war would have been there. Now, though, Los Che probably need to score to be sure they make it through.

Valencia haven’t lost in any competition since January, when they were beaten by Getafe in the Copa Del Rey, but needed a 90th minute goal to see off Girona at the weekend. There are extenuating circumstances – they were down to 10 men and Girona only equalised from the penalty spot but still, if there is any malaise creeping into Marcelino’s team, Krasnodar can take advantage.

Murad Musaev has a side competing at the top of the Russian Premier League, but they’re not a form side, unlike the visitors. That’s especially true in the Europa League, where Krasnodar have made it to the last 16 despite not winning any of their last four games – three in the group, and the first leg at the Mestalla.

If the second leg does go against Valencia then they’ll be left kicking themselves after having the chance to make the game safe back in Spain. Players from both sides acknowledged post-match that Valencia were comfortable, and that the away goal changes things. Valencia will feel like they have to win the tie all over again, while Krasnodar got a reprieve.

Bookmakers will still stick with Valencia to go through but it won’t be straightforward. A 1-1 draw to send Valencia through 3-2 on aggregate seems the way it’ll go.

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Betting Tips

A score draw would maintain Valencia’s unbeaten record and see them through to the next stage, and three of their last five road games have ended in score draws too. 10Bet have this one at 33/10.

Krasnodar scoring first would set up a real test of Valencia’s Europa League credentials – if they want to lift the trophy, they need to go to far-flung, intense locations such as Russia and get the result they need. They’ve got enough goals to fight back. Royal Panda price a home goal first at 117/100.

Statistics

Head to Head

Last week’s first leg was the first meeting between the sides.

Stats

  • No team have been in the Europa League’s last 16 more times than Valencia, who share the record of five appearances with Benfica and Zenit Saint-Petersburg.
  • Valencia’s first leg win made it 10 straight home Europa League games without defeat. The last team to win at Mestalla in the competition was Swansea in 2013-14.
  • Krasnodar first qualified for the Europa League in 2014-15 and have been in every edition of the tournament since.
  • Krasnodar coach Musaev lifted the Under-19 version of the tournament with Krasnodar’s youth team in 2017-18.
Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt

Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.

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