Paris Saint-Germain vs Real Madrid Champions League Predictions

Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt
PSG vs Real Madrid Champions league
PSG vs Real Madrid Champions League

The match is over.
Score: 3-0.

Regular Champions League winners Real Madrid travel to France to face perennial Champions League hopefuls Paris Saint-Germain in a heavyweight clash to kick off Group A.

Predictions

Thomas Tuchel’s PSG have started well domestically but their Ligue 1 results haven’t been perfect, with an early defeat to Rennes showing that the champions are definitely beatable.

Madrid have had a much worse time of it in La Liga, though, with a couple of disappointing results against Real Valladolid and Villarreal. Zinedine Zidane’s side is in transition, but there’s rarely time to develop slowly at the Santiago Bernabeu – results must be delivered, and trophies with them too.

Encouraging for the Spanish side, as they go to France, is that arguably their best performance of the season came away from home. Admittedly, it was against Celta Vigo, not a team with the power of PSG, but a 3-1 win at Balaidos, playing the last 30 minutes with 10 men, is a feather in Zidane’s cap.

Drawn in a group with Club Brugge and Galatasaray, it seems inevitable that PSG and Madrid will be fighting each other for top spot, which means the outcome of their head-to-head encounters will be crucial. Both will want to finish first, and get, theoretically, a favourable draw in the knockout stages.

It might not quite work that way in practice but Madrid, even in transition, are old hands in Europe, and know how to get the result they need. Zidane won’t necessarily set out his team for a draw, but he won’t go all-out for three points either.

So with that in mind, a tight game could be in prospect, and a 1-1 final result doesn’t feel out of the question.

Betting Tips

PSG’s defence, domestically, has been largely solid this season, but they haven’t come up against players the calibre of Gareth Bale and Karim Benzema. Likewise, PSG are Madrid’s biggest test, and their defence hasn’t been solid so far. So that points to both teams to score and since they’re fairly evenly matched, a score draw. 888Sport price both teams to score and the match to be a draw at 16/5.

PSG’s desire to win the Champions League is well-known, and all the best online bookmakers consider the French side to be outsiders – compared to fourth favourites Madrid. But with something to prove and a message to send – that they can win the competition – look for PSG to make a strong start. They’re 5/7 at Royal Panda to score the first goal of the game.

Statistics

Head to Head

PSG and Madrid last met in the 2018 edition of the competition, with Madrid winning 3-1 at home and 2-1 away.

The Parisians haven’t beaten Madrid since a 1994 UEFA Cup Winners’ Cup meeting, when George Weah scored at the Bernabeu before a 1-1 draw in Paris.

Stats

  • PSG have been knocked out of the Champions League in the Round of 16 in the last three seasons.
  • Carlo Ancelotti left PSG to take over at Madrid in 2013. The Italian won Ligue 1 but couldn’t deliver success in Europe, and then won the Champions League with Madrid in his first season in charge.
  • PSG and Madrid have met eight times. The former have won twice, while there have been four draws and four Madrid wins.
  • PSG have two former Madrid players in their squad – midfielder Angel Di Maria, who played for Manchester United in between his Madrid and PSG careers, and goalkeeper Keylor Navas, who joined PSG from Madrid late in the summer transfer window.
  • Madrid also have goalkeeper Alphonse Areola on loan from PSG, signed once Navas went the other way.
Sam Watt
By: Sam Watt

Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.

All Predictions by Sam Watt

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