Liverpool vs Napoli Champions League Predictions

Champions-League-Liverpool-vs-Napoli
Liverpool vs Napoli Champions League

The match is over.
Score: 1-0.

Liverpool and Napoli’s fate in the Champions League is still uncertain, as both can still progress to the knockout stages.

Predictions

Defeat at Paris Saint Germain on match day five have left Liverpool’s place in the competition hanging in the balance. They can somehow finish top of the group or bottom depending on how results go on the final day.

There are various permutations that will see Liverpool through, but none of them happen for Liverpool. For them the game plan is more or less simple, which is so rarely the case in football.

Things get a little more complex for Napoli as far as their approach goes. A win is ideal, a draw is good enough for Napoli to go through as is a loss, as long as the score line is 2-1.

It puts the Italian side in a difficult place. At the very least their recent record is in their favour, staying unbeaten over the last 11 games, the latest a 2-1 win away at Atalanta.

Both teams know a goal helps their cause greatly, so will likely push for one, causing in a score draw or an oxymoronic heart-breaking 2-1 win for Liverpool.

Betting Tips

Liverpool’s need to score and the openness at the back it may bring should see both teams score, with their respective front three’s talented and prolific enough to get goals, even with Liverpool’s newfound defensive solidarity.

Everything good that has happened for Napoli going forward this season has come from Dries Mertens, as he shows flashes of his 2016/17 form. The Belgian has scored eight goals in his last nine games, and many sport betting sites’ odds have heavily swung in the favour of Liverpool players scoring – even underused players like Divock Origi and Dominic Solanke have shorter odds.

Statistics

Head to Head

Napoli managed their first ever win over Liverpool earlier in the group stage when Lorenzo Insigne’s 90th minute goal handed the Italians a 1-0 win. Beforehand that they had not beaten the Merseyside club, drawing 0-0 and losing 3-1 when they met in the Europa League group stages back in 2010.

A friendly played between the two this preseason so Liverpool batter Napoli, still getting to grips with new manager Carlo Ancelotti, 5-0.

Liverpool’s record against Italian sides is not the best, winning just 10 of 28 encounters. Napoli’s going the other way is not much better, winning as many as they have lost

Stats

  • Liverpool have conceded just six goals in their 15 Premier League games this season – equalling the top-flight English league record at this stage of a season, alongside Man Utd in 1985-86, Arsenal in 1990-91, Chelsea in 2004-05 and Chelsea in 2008-09.
  • Alisson has remained unbeaten in his opening 15 league matches as a Liverpool player; equalling the club record in the Premier League set by Javier Mascherano in November 2007.
  • Napoli have lost just two of their 15 Champions League group stage games at home, winning 10 and drawing three.
  • Dries Mertens has been directly involved in 11 goals in his last nine appearances in all competitions for Napoli (8 goals, 3 assists).
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