Burton Albion vs Manchester City EFL Cup Predictions

Carabao Cup Burton Albion vs Man City
Burton Albion vs Manchester City EFL Cup

The match is over.
Score: 0-1.

The second leg of the EFL Cup semi-finals are played this week although there is little doubt over the outcome of this tie, with Premier League champions and tournament holders Manchester City holding a landslide nine-goal advantage from the first leg.


This has the potential to be another very lopsided semi-final matchup between the competition favourites and the side languishing in mid-table in England’s third tier.

Burton will naturally go into this game as massive underdogs, they have won just two of their last five league matches and three from ten as they sit 11th in League One.

City are aiming to retain the trophy they won last season en route to their Premier League success and are priced as favourites to lift the trophy, with last week’s 9-0 thumping de facto ensuring their spot in the final.

Burton have defeated Shrewsbury, Aston Villa, Burnley, Nottingham Forest and Middlesbrough to reach this stage while City have beaten Oxford United, Fulham and Leicester City.

The visitors will be favourites to record their 11th successive victory in the competition despite not possessing home advantage, due to their superior form and quality over Burton.

The away side are favourites to win this game although it may not be a big a margin as many suggest and certainly no repeat of the first leg – a 3-1 triumph for Pep Guardiola’s side would appear a likely outcome from it.

Betting Tips

City are overwhelming favourites for this clash so an away win carries very little risk while it is also highly likely that both teams will score – 888sport have it as 23/20 when combined with the City win. Burton will be intent on giving their home fans a moment to savour and this is among the best online betting odds for this midweek round of action.

These are lengthy odds for an outcome which is more probable than they reflect, due to the result earlier this month distorting the likelihood of any resistance from Burton this time around. Home advantage should significantly shift the momentum in this game and the scoreline being level at the break before City pull away in the second half is a likely outcome, rated at 19/5 by 888sport.


Head to Head

These two sides have never met in competitive action before this tie, although Manchester City played the now defunct Burton Wanderers six times in the 1890s. The 9-0 victory earlier this month was the first time the two sides have clashed.


  • Manchester City have won their last 10 games in the competition (including penalty shootouts), a run dating back to their October 2016 defeat in the competition against Manchester United.
  • Burton Albion have only had to defeat one Premier League club to reach this stage in the competition – defeating Burnley 2-1 in the Third Round of the competition.
  • Burton have won seven of their 14 home games in League One this season, taking 23 points in the process – the division’s eighth strongest home record.
  • Manchester City are not as strong on the road as they are at home in the Premier League – they have won just six of their 10 away games in the league this season, the division’s fourth strongest record.

A life-long Bury fan, Clay has realized his dreams of seeing his boyhood club reach the lofty heights of Premier League glory are very unlikely. Though currently living in London, Clay never misses the opportunity to watch his team on the stream. Often spotted at centre-back in Sunday League, Clay has settled for reporting on the top teams throughout Europe. He has recently taken a liking to the NFL, and hopes to be able to attend an NFL game at Wembley this year.

All Predictions by Clay McGibbon