Group H remains finely balanced as France and Iceland meet, with both nations harbouring hopes of knocking Turkey off top spot.
World Cup holders France go into the October internationals in second place in the group, level on points behind Turkey and three clear of their Friday opponents.
But with home advantage Iceland have reason to feel quietly confident of taking the scalp of Les Bleus, even though history is against the island nation.
Indeed, Iceland have never beaten France, who have won 10 of their 14 meetings, including an emphatic 4-0 victory in March in Paris.
Local history is on Iceland’s side, though, as their last nine European Championship qualifiers have seen Our Boys post a record of seven wins and two draws.
France play Turkey following the trip to Iceland so it’s no exaggeration to suggest this is a make-or-break pair of games for Didier Deschamps and his squad. Turkey also have a tricky tie with Albania, so the complexion of the group could be about to change.
Iceland will be keen to avenge their hammering seven months earlier too, but there’s a big gap in quality to make up and it may be too big. But a draw – 2-2 – keeps things interesting.
There hasn’t been a single draw in Group H. How much longer can that go on? And as the qualification process gets down to the decisive rounds, tension is bound to creep in and make the games that bit tighter. Iceland can toil to a draw here, but will need to score.
France, as world champions, should be seeing off mid-level teams like Iceland, but you can’t count out Iceland either – they made their name getting results that seemed beyond them, much to the chagrin of the top bookies. A draw would require a battling performance, and this bet takes out the margin of error.
Head to Head
The last time France and Ireland met prior to their previous qualification meeting saw the friendly end in a 2-2 draw. Iceland took a two-goal lead and France needed a late own goal and an even later penalty to earn a share of the spoils.
Olivier Giroud is the top international scorer in the France squad with 36 goals in 93 appearances.
Only Antoine Griezmann and KylianMbappe – 29 and 13 respectively – are in to double figures for international goals aside from Giroud.
Iceland have BirkirBjarnason, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Alfred Finnbogason and KolbeinnSigthorsson in double figures, with the latter’s 25 only one behind record scorer EidurGudjohnsen.
Iceland’s appearance at Euro 2016 was their first major tournament appearance – and they reached the quarter-finals before losing to hosts France.
Football manager is my life, but have taken up writing to help put all that knowledge playing the game to good use. Follow me for all things European football and gain unexpected knowledge about players and teams you didn't know before. When not playing football manager, I take a break to play with my Sunday League team.